Pre-tourney Rankings
Miami (FL)
Atlantic Coast
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+15.2#12
Expected Predictive Rating+16.1#12
Pace61.4#289
Improvement+3.4#49

Offense
Total Offense+7.8#24
Improvement+3.9#42

Defense
Total Defense+7.4#19
Improvement-0.5#197
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 3.9% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 27.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 72.6% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 2.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round90.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen56.4% n/a n/a
Elite Eight29.7% n/a n/a
Final Four13.6% n/a n/a
Championship Game5.9% n/a n/a
National Champion2.4% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 2 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2012 243   Stetson W 87-79 97%     1 - 0 +0.1 +7.0 -7.1
  Nov 13, 2012 140   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 51-63 83%     1 - 1 -7.1 -16.8 +9.2
  Nov 16, 2012 296   Jacksonville W 73-57 99%     2 - 1 +4.1 +1.0 +4.4
  Nov 24, 2012 69   Detroit Mercy W 77-62 85%     3 - 1 +19.1 +4.8 +14.9
  Nov 28, 2012 10   Michigan St. W 67-59 61%     4 - 1 +20.3 +11.5 +10.1
  Dec 01, 2012 78   @ Massachusetts W 75-62 72%     5 - 1 +22.3 +8.5 +14.3
  Dec 14, 2012 130   Charlotte W 77-46 92%     6 - 1 +30.2 +3.9 +25.4
  Dec 18, 2012 134   @ Central Florida W 72-50 82%     7 - 1 +27.5 +8.7 +21.2
  Dec 23, 2012 18   Arizona L 50-69 56%     7 - 2 -5.4 -11.9 +4.5
  Dec 23, 2012 192   @ Hawaii W 73-58 89%     8 - 2 +17.0 +9.0 +10.0
  Dec 25, 2012 96   Indiana St. L 55-57 OT 83%     8 - 3 +2.9 -13.4 +16.3
  Jan 02, 2013 55   La Salle W 76-59 82%     9 - 3 +22.7 +8.0 +15.4
  Jan 05, 2013 102   @ Georgia Tech W 62-49 76%     10 - 3 1 - 0 +20.8 +2.4 +19.6
  Jan 10, 2013 26   @ North Carolina W 68-59 48%     11 - 3 2 - 0 +24.8 +6.4 +19.0
  Jan 13, 2013 53   Maryland W 54-47 80%     12 - 3 3 - 0 +13.2 -13.7 +26.9
  Jan 16, 2013 93   @ Boston College W 60-59 75%     13 - 3 4 - 0 +9.3 -0.3 +9.8
  Jan 23, 2013 6   Duke W 90-63 53%     14 - 3 5 - 0 +41.4 +10.8 +27.3
  Jan 27, 2013 109   Florida St. W 71-47 90%     15 - 3 6 - 0 +24.8 -1.1 +26.5
  Jan 30, 2013 160   @ Virginia Tech W 73-64 86%     16 - 3 7 - 0 +12.7 +2.5 +10.6
  Feb 02, 2013 29   @ North Carolina St. W 79-78 49%     17 - 3 8 - 0 +16.4 +13.3 +3.2
  Feb 05, 2013 93   Boston College W 72-50 89%     18 - 3 9 - 0 +23.8 +10.6 +17.4
  Feb 09, 2013 26   North Carolina W 87-61 72%     19 - 3 10 - 0 +35.3 +20.4 +15.8
  Feb 13, 2013 109   @ Florida St. W 74-68 78%     20 - 3 11 - 0 +13.3 +5.6 +7.9
  Feb 17, 2013 111   @ Clemson W 45-43 78%     21 - 3 12 - 0 +9.1 -11.4 +21.0
  Feb 19, 2013 39   Virginia W 54-50 76%     22 - 3 13 - 0 +11.9 -0.7 +13.5
  Feb 23, 2013 127   @ Wake Forest L 65-80 81%     22 - 4 13 - 1 -9.2 -3.7 -5.4
  Feb 27, 2013 160   Virginia Tech W 76-58 94%     23 - 4 14 - 1 +15.2 +7.1 +10.0
  Mar 02, 2013 6   @ Duke L 76-79 29%     23 - 5 14 - 2 +17.8 +11.0 +6.8
  Mar 06, 2013 102   Georgia Tech L 69-71 90%     23 - 6 14 - 3 -0.7 +7.0 -7.9
  Mar 09, 2013 111   Clemson W 62-49 91%     24 - 6 15 - 3 +13.7 +6.4 +10.2
  Mar 15, 2013 93   Boston College W 69-58 83%     25 - 6 +16.0 +4.9 +12.7
  Mar 16, 2013 29   North Carolina St. W 81-71 62%     26 - 6 +22.2 +11.8 +10.5
  Mar 17, 2013 26   North Carolina W 87-77 60%     27 - 6 +22.6 +25.3 -2.0
Projected Record 27.0 - 6.0 15.0 - 3.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 2.0 27.0 45.6 26.0 1.3 0.0
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 2.0 27.0 45.6 26.0 1.3 0.0